Our computer models continue in a westward shift with the track of Tropical Storm this morning. Yesterday, models leaned towards taking the storm into the FL panhandle. Today, they seem to be favoring a track into Louisiana. There is still a great deal of uncertainty with the eventual outcome of landfall…somewhere between Pensacola FL and New Orleans Early Wed AM. How strong? Cat 2 likely. 100+ mph…but could be stronger depending upon the track and the depth of the warm water the storm tracks over. Cat 3 can not be ruled out. Storm Surge will be dependent upon the strength of the storm as seas/waves become bigger with deeper pressure falls and stronger winds. Where ever this storm hits it will come with significant storm surge flooding and damaging winds. All of this happening on the anniversary of Hurricane Katrina. The path into New Orleans is the worst direction a hurricane can take for the city 6 feet under sea level. Levees could be tested again. All we can do is hope for a shift to the East…but then Mobile, Biloxi and Pensacola are the target. Answers to strength, track, surge, impact will come in the coming days. For now…all we can do is monitor.
One more day in the heat and humidity before we get a welcome break in the summer weather and a return to a more seasonal and comfortable airmass. A warm front has pushed off the coast this morning with winds shifting to the SW. Hazy sunshine will help to spike temps into the 80’s near 90 by midday.
That dry air will begin to erode some of the low cloud cover this afternoon…with breaks of sun forming inland. The front will stall as it approaches SE MA…so clouds will remain pretty locked in at the coast for much of the day. With light onshore winds….expect temps to remain in the 50’s with Lwr-mid 60’s farther inland away from the cooler water temps.
This winter was one of the warmest on record, but now that spring is here, many are wondering how long this warm weather will last. Historically, warm winters like this can be followed by mild springs.
SW flow aloft up the east coast is steering a significant plume of moisture up the East coast today but the rain is mostly moving offshore. Showers will come awfully close to Nantucket, but the rest of the region will remain dry and cloudy under a blanket of overcast which has moved in for the rest of the day. Highs will be in the Lwr 40’s. A thinner overcast in the north and west where there will be some partial sunshine
New England has the best chance for accumulating snowfall. Along and north of the Pike will likely be in the best snow growth regions for substantial accumulations..track dependent. If everything comes together just right… some areas could see up to 6 inches of snow or more…but let’s just rest on this for now. It has not exactly been a good winter for snow storms.
Thirty college students from the Boston area are facing charges after they tried to enter the United States from Canada at the Derby Line, Vt., border crossing with alcohol and drugs in their bags.
Flying 500 feet above a small Vermont town, the I-Team found out that terrorists see the Canada-United States border as their land of opportunity.
Bright sunshine this morning with high pressure pulling off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Clouds will increase this afternoon ahead of an energized short wave which will push through tonight. Highs temps should be able to climb into the mid 40’s ahead of the increasing PM clouds and west winds.
A weak front is pushing through New England today. Temps have started in the Lwr-mid 30’s…with plenty of sunshine, breezy WNW winds, highs will climb to 40-45 south of Boston, and remain in the upper 30’s NW of the city. High clouds will be increasing from the south during the afternoon as a low tracks well south of the region.