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4th Of July Forecast: Thunderstorms Possible

By Terry Eliasen, Meteorologist, WBZ-TV Exec. Weather Producer
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BOSTON (CBS) – This week will undoubtedly be one of the most popular vacation weeks of the year.

What better time to take a break and hit the beaches with the 4th of July falling smack dab in the middle of the week!

Check: Current Conditions | Weather Maps | Interactive Radar

The big question on everyone’s mind – will the weather cooperate?

The short answer is, for the most part, yes.

Average temperatures for the first week of July are around 80-81 degrees.  We should top that just about every day this week.

In fact, this week will feature weather very typical for July – lots of sunshine, high temps generally in the 80’s, times of humidity and a few chances of thunderstorms.

Here are some headlines for this week:

Three chances of thunderstorms:

  1. Monday afternoon: Just some pop-up storms, not likely to be severe and quick movers
  2. Wednesday: Unfortunately, the best chance of thunderstorms this week is on the 4th.  There may be multiple fronts moving through, bringing a thunderstorm threat in the morning and again in the afternoon.  Not a washout by any means, but it will be a day that we will have to keep our eyes to the sky. Any storms should clear after dark, in time for fireworks displays.
  3. Saturday night: A cold front is likely to bring an end to some late week heat on Saturday night with some boomers, likely clearing the coast in time for a nice Sunday.

Above normal to WELL above normal temperatures:

Highs will range between 82-88 Monday through Thursday and then some heat from the Midwest breaks off and enters New England for two days.  Friday and Saturday will both be 90+, perhaps mid to upper 90’s on Saturday.

Up and down humidity:

Humidity levels will be pretty comfy Monday and Tuesday with dew points in the 50’s.  Dew points will rise sharply on Wednesday well into the 60’s, making it feel a bit soupy on the Esplanade and fueling some of those thunderstorms.  We’ll have a brief break in humidity on Thursday before some oppressive air moves in Friday and Saturday.

A quick summary on each day this week:

  • Monday: Sunny start, building clouds midday/afternoon, scattered PM storms, mid 80’s
  • Tuesday: Sunny, warm and dry, perhaps the pick of the week, mid 80’s
  • Wednesday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with scattered thunderstorms throughout the day, humid, 82-88 depending upon how much sunshine we get
  • Thursday: Another beauty, much like Tuesday, mid-to-upper 80’s, fairly dry
  • Friday: The heat builds, sunny and hot, 90 degrees
  • Saturday: Triple H weather – hazy, hot and humid, well into the 90’s with late day storms
  • Sunday: Sun returns, drier, mid 80’s

You can follow Terry on Twitter at @TerryWBZ.

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