BOSTON (CBS) – The election is 11 months away, but there’s already a dead heat in the U.S. Senate race in Massachusetts, according to a new poll.

WBZ NewsRadio 1030’s Lana Jones reports

The UMass Amherst poll released Thursday shows Democrat Elizabeth Warren leading Sen. Scott Brown 43-to-39 percent.

The survey’s margin of error is 4.4 percent.

“These numbers could mean trouble for Scott Brown,” UMass Amherst political scientist Brian Schaffner said in a statement.

“The race is a dead heat and his support is well under 50 percent, which usually means difficulty for an incumbent, especially this far out from Election Day.”

Schaffner said Warren is drawing strong support from women, middle-to-low income residents and younger voters.

Brown, a Republican, has a large lead among independent voters.

The poll of 500 registered voters was conducted from November 9-22.

Warren’s strongest areas of support are in western Massachusetts and Boston.

Brown leads in central Massachusetts and they’re virtually tied in the southeastern part of the state.

Comments (10)
  1. massman says:

    This is only the beginning. Senator Brown, we hardly knew ye.

  2. Rich says:

    500 people.. You have to be kidding me. Don’t get your hopes up that fast. SB is not going anywhere. She stood up to WS?… Show us where she was doing this please. Just because the liberal lying machine said so? Liberals will be very disappointed come 2012.

    1. JNagarya says:

      This isn’t the only poll that shows Warren ahead of Brown.

      And Brown is not on your chump-change side: he’s a millionaire, and ther eis a reason he raises more money from Wall St. than any other Senate candidate.

      There is a reason he is called Wall St.’s Senator.

      IF you believe that represents your interests, then you don’t believe a belief, you believe a delusion.

      As for “Liberal lie machine”: name-calling is not argument. It is, though, childish.

  3. SFearthquake says:

    Typical MA balanced approach to politics… exactly what we need, more Democrats representing us. When will this state wake up.

    1. JNagarya says:

      MA will have woken up when those who believe millionaire Brown is on their side realize he is not. But let’s look at his character, shall we?

      He claims — without presenting evidence — that he was sexually molested. Yet he is remarkably calm as compared with others who have made such allegations.

      (The media treats his claim as proven fact, even though he has provided no evidence. If one is an ordinary citizen, then one can only ALLEGE such an experience until one proves otherwise with evidence.)

      Yet he has REPEATEDLY REFUSED to name the molester, thus leaving the molester free to prey upon other children.

      Nice guy concerned about others? You decide. But before deciding, WAKE UP.

  4. Bob says:

    Ok, how is this a “dead heat” when Warren is leading by 4, and was down by 3 last month? Seems one candidate has momentum and the other is losing popularity.

  5. Chris C says:

    This could be a victory for Warren and here is why: It is in a Presidential year with an incumbent Democrat on the ticket. This could drive the people out to the polls in waves of support for Obama. If they are going to pull the lever for the President, I have to believe they will also pull the lever for Liz. Scott Brown’s best chance at survival is if Romney is on the ticket to get the Massachusetts Republicans and right leaning independents out to vote. If the nominee is anyone other than Romney (I dont think it will be), Brown is done.

  6. massman says:

    Rich – Try not to display your ignorance so openly.

  7. Anne Gross Beal says:

    Warren chaired the oversight committee responsible for the 2008 bank bailouts- which we’ve just learned amounted to $7.7 trillion. what did she know, and when did she know it? And if she knew the Federal Reserve Bank was printing that much obscenely inflationary funny money what did she do to stop it???

  8. J Newto says:

    Well its nice to see that MA learns it’s Listens hard!
    E Warren are you kidding me! that’s what MA is going to send to Washington?

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