By Terry Eliasen, Meteorologist, WBZ-TV Exec. Weather Producer

BOSTON (CBS) — I am happy to report there are no significant changes to the forecast Today!

I understand this may come as bad news to many who were hoping for the out-to sea solution. Bottom line, it’s coming. It won’t be a blockbuster storm, but it will be a solid thump of heavy, wet, plowable snow for most of Southern New England.

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(WBZ-TV graphic)

Let’s get right into the specifics.

TIMELINE:

First flakes will fall along the South Coast around 7-8 p.m. and the shield of snow will overspread the entire area by Midnight.

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(WBZ-TV graphic)

The intensity of the snow will increase after Midnight as the storm hits its peak here between 2 a.m. and 8 a.m. Monday.

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(WBZ-TV graphic)

This will undoubtedly make for a very slow and messy Monday morning commute and numerous school delays and closures.

Between 8 a.m. and noon on Monday, the snow will taper off from west to east with a complete shutoff everywhere by early afternoon.

(WBZ-TV graphic)

(WBZ-TV graphic)

SNOW AMOUNTS:

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0-2″ Manchester, NH to Fitchburg to Springfield, MA and all points north and west of there.

2-4″ Worcester to Lowell to Nashua, N.H. to Lawrence, and points east to I-95, right up to Boston (the entire 128 and 495 belt north and west of Boston).

4-8″ A line from Boston to Providence and all points south and east down to the Cape. Boston likely will end up very close to 4″.

Also 2-4″ on the Outer Cape and Islands, where the consistency will be much wetter.

More than 8″? While not all that likely, a few spot 9 or 10″ amounts may occur somewhere in extreme southeastern Mass., in the Plymouth-Bourne-New Bedford area.

OTHER CONCERNS:

This storm will NOT have any real significant wind or coastal flooding associated with it. Later Tonight into Monday morning, the northeast-to-northerly wind will increase to 20-40 mph over southeastern Mass. up through the South Shore and North Shore as well. Less wind is likely inland. Due to the heavier, denser, wetter snow in the windy areas, some scattered power outages are possible.

The greatest storm surge should occur before the late morning high tide on Monday. The scheduled height of the tides this time of the month are lower, so only splash-over on the more vulnerable shore roads is possible. Any widespread coastal flooding is unlikely.

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(WBZ-TV graphic)

We do not expect any big changes to this forecast at this point, but as always, I would urge you stay tuned to WBZ-TV, WBZ NewsRadio 1030, and CBSBoston.com for updates throughout the storm.