BOSTON (CBS) – I understand that most of us don’t have much bandwidth available to pity politicians, but you’ve got to feel just a little bit sorry for Massachusetts Democratic gubernatorial nominee Jay Gonzalez. With just one week to go until Election Day, Gonzalez trails Republican incumbent Charlie Baker by 39 points in a new Suffolk University-Boston Globe poll, 65-to-26.

If that result holds up, it would tie for second-biggest landslide in a governor’s race here in the past 40 years, especially startling given the almost total Democratic control over every other statewide office. And that raises a question: how is Baker doing it?

wbz governorsdebate kellergonzalezbaker01 Keller @ Large: The Secret Behind Charlie Bakers Big Lead

Jay Gonzalez (D) and Gov. Charlie Baker (R) shake hands at the WBZ Governor’s Debate on October 9, 2018, while WBZ Political Analyst Jon Keller looks on. (WBZ-TV)

Here’s a simple answer – by being independent despite the “R” on his ballot line. More than half of registered voters here are independents, and the trend away from partisan identification has been building for years. Under Baker, Beacon Hill has followed suit, it’s large Democratic majorities often abandoning the party line to meet Baker halfway.

And efforts by Gonzalez to paint Baker as a GOP partisan just haven’t stuck, in part because of moments like the one at their second debate, where Baker was reluctant to go beyond a cursory endorsement of Geoff Diehl, the former Trump campaign chairman in Massachusetts.

Add in the governor’s open disdain for the president and it’s clear why independents see Baker as one of their own. And in Massachusetts politics these days, that’s exactly where you want to be.

Share your thoughts with me via email at keller@wbztv.com, or use Twitter, @kelleratlarge.

Comments
  1. Theodore Oule says:

    Not really, Jon…No independent has ever come close to getting a senate seat in Massachusetts, since Edward Brooke, and I’m giving him credit for being an Independent, not a Republican.

    And NO independent or Republican has won a House seat in Massachusetts since Margret Heckler, and that string includes two long-time Democrats who held office who also were censored by their house for their untoward behaviors who held their seats by whopping margins.

    Neither Republican or independent stands a chance in anything but at governors race, and this is likely because the voter is wary of the complete Democratic control of the state offices raising taxes beyond the ludicrous rates that they have already imposed.

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