By Michael Hurley, CBS Boston

BOSTON (CBS) — The 2017 Patriots ought to be good. Really good.

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And according to ESPN’s Sports Analytics team, nobody else in the NFL is even close.

ESPN released its Football Power Index rankings on Thursday, a model which takes ratings and uses them to simulate the NFL season 10,000 times. The results show that there will be a lot of pressure on the Patriots to repeat as Super Bowl champions.

According to the models, the Patriots enter 2017 with a 50.7 percent chance of making the Super Bowl, and a 34.7 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl.

By comparison, the next-best teams on the list is Green Bay, which has a 19.7 percent chance of making the Super Bowl and a 9.8 percent chance of winning the championship.

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The Seahawks are given a 22.8 percent chance of making the Super Bowl, but a 9.6 percent chance of winning.

Among AFC opponents, only Pittsburgh (15.4 percent to make Super Bowl; 8.5 percent to win Super Bowl) is anywhere close to New England. Oakland would be next, with an 8.1 percent chance of making the Super Bowl and a 4.3 percent chance of winning it.

Overall, the Patriots have a plus-9.2 FIP ranking. Green Bay ranks second at plus-4.8, with Pittsburgh (plus-4.7) and Seattle (plus-4.2) ranking second and third. As ESPN noted, the gap between New England and Green Bay from No. 1 to No. 2 is roughly the same as the gap between Green Bay and Cincinnati from No. 2 to No. 14.

Given the Patriots’ high quality in the ranking system, it’s not surprising to see that the Patriots are involved in the four highest-ranked games in terms of FPI — at Pittsburgh, at Denver, at Tampa Bay, and at New Orleans.

The system also gives the Patriots a 92.3 percent chance of winning the AFC East — which, if we’re being honest, seems a bit low.

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Obviously, it’s only June. Injuries, surprise signings, any any other combination of events could make for a different setup come September. Still, there should be no denying that the 2017 Patriots enter this upcoming season with some of the highest expectations ever placed upon a football team.