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Stewart: Bill James & His Faulty Projections Deserve Blame For Red Sox Ineptness

BOSTON (CBS) - The Red Sox season ended once John Henry gave a vote of confidence to his field manager, his general manager and the players -- it's only after Thursday night's epic disaster that people are figuring it out.

$200 million to put together this crap.

There's a lot of blame to go around, from the owner all the way down to the players. But I believe I've found the true culprit in this mess of a season: Bill James and his faulty projections.

The true person who should be fired is Bill James and the computer programs he uses to project players.

Here are some of Bill James' projections from before the season:

David-Ortiz
Red Sox DH David Ortiz. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

David Ortiz's 2015 Projections: .275 batting average, .371 on base percentage, .517 slugging percentage, 32 home runs, 102 runs batted in

On Pace For: .220 BA, .300 OBP, .376 SLG, 18 HR, 56 RBI

Hanley Ramirez
Hanley Ramirez #13 of the Boston Red Sox (Photo by Winslow Townson/Getty Images)

Hanley Ramirez's 2015 Projections: .290 BA, .367 OBP, .476 SLG, 23 HR, 85 RBI, 20 stolen bases

On Pace For: .263 BA, .310 OBP, .469 SLG, 35 HR, 82 RBI, 9 SB

Pablo Sandoval
Pablo Sandoval at his Red Sox introduction, Nov. 25, 2014. (WBZ-TV)

Pablo Sandoval's 2015 Projections: .287 BA, .344 OBP, .447 SLG, 18 HR, 82 RBI

On Pace For: .239 BA, .306 OBP, .352 SLG, 15 HR, 50 RBI

Shane-Victorino
Red Sox outfielder Shane Victorino. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)

Shane Victorino's 2015 Projections: 129 games, .265 BA, .326 OBP, .410 SLG, 12 HR, 50 RBI

On Pace For: 59 games, .255 BA, .379 OBP, .345 SLG, 3 HR, 9 RBI

Allen-Craig-in-doubles-in-debut-for-Red-Sox
Allen Craig of the Boston Red Sox doubles in the third inning against the New York Yankees at Fenway Park on August 1, 2014 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)

Allen Craig's 2015 Projections: .280 BA, .338 OBP, .437 SLG, 30 doubles, 15 HR

On Pace For: .135 BA, .237 OBP, .192 SLG, 0 doubles, 3 HR

Rusney-Castillo
Red Sox right fielder Rusney Castillo loses his bat in the first inning of a loss to the Texas Rangers. (Photo by Sarah Crabill/Getty Images)

Rusney Castillo's 2015 Projections: .261 BA, .316 OBP, .462 SLG, 31 doubles, 22 HR, 32 SB

On Pace For: .190 BA, .209 OBP, .190 SLG, 0 doubles, 0 home runs, 14 SB

Mookie-Betts
Red Sox outfielder Mookie Betts. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

Mookie Betts' 2015 Projections: .321 BA, .405 OBP, .493 SLG, 41 doubles, 15 HR, 40 SB

On Pace For: .243 BA, .300 OBP, .381 SLG, 32 doubles, 15 HR, 24 SB


 

Man, did Bill James swing and miss on his Red Sox projections.

Because of John Henry listening to Bill James, the Red Sox are behind the curve on evaluating major league players.

James Stewart is the executive producer of the Felger and Massarotti Show, which airs 2-6 p.m. on 98.5 The Sports Hub. Find him on Twitter @IAmJamesStewart.

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