Historically, this storm will rival many of the past storms that have impacted New England. Not only will the track be unique, but also the intensity will be one for the record books…with minimum pressures falling to levels comparable to some of our greatest hurricanes! Just Incredible.
Our computer models continue in a westward shift with the track of Tropical Storm this morning. Yesterday, models leaned towards taking the storm into the FL panhandle. Today, they seem to be favoring a track into Louisiana. There is still a great deal of uncertainty with the eventual outcome of landfall…somewhere between Pensacola FL and New Orleans Early Wed AM. How strong? Cat 2 likely. 100+ mph…but could be stronger depending upon the track and the depth of the warm water the storm tracks over. Cat 3 can not be ruled out. Storm Surge will be dependent upon the strength of the storm as seas/waves become bigger with deeper pressure falls and stronger winds. Where ever this storm hits it will come with significant storm surge flooding and damaging winds. All of this happening on the anniversary of Hurricane Katrina. The path into New Orleans is the worst direction a hurricane can take for the city 6 feet under sea level. Levees could be tested again. All we can do is hope for a shift to the East…but then Mobile, Biloxi and Pensacola are the target. Answers to strength, track, surge, impact will come in the coming days. For now…all we can do is monitor.
It’s funny as soon as the humidity starts to build around here…we are always looking for the next exit. While this airmass is no fun to deal with, sometimes you have to think about the […]
Sunny dry and breezy SW winds today, Gusts to 20 to 30 mph by midday and afternoon. Highs will be cooler than yesterday…58 to 64. There are clouds in the far northern and western reaches of New England associated with an upper low which continues to lift into Canada. Those clouds will primarily stay there, but a few puffy cu’s may pop with the heating of the day across the interior. Winds will be diminishing tonight with lows dropping into the 40′s with clear to partly cloudy skies.
High pressure parked over Maine this morning providing clear and calm conditions to the region. Patchy morning fog is already beginning to lift. Light onshore winds from the SE will keep it cooler at the coast today in the 60′s while most inland spots will climb to 70-75 degrees this afternoon…warmer in the west.
Morning stratus and low level fog is making for a hazy morning across the region…with more clouds west and southeast. Any Morning clouds will give way to increasing afternoon sunshine. SW winds with warm air aloft, along with hazy sun will allow temps to climb to the mid-upper 80′s inland, mid 80′s coast with 70′s on the Cape.
High pressure to our south is wrapping in warm humid light SW winds and providing enough dry sinking air that much of the weekend will remain dry..but humid with highs in the mid-upper 80′s…Near 80 on the Cape. As the high pulls off the coast Sunday, a better chance for more widespread scattered storms will develop late tomorrow in the west.
Our weather outlook here at home is fairly tranquil, but there is a little weather to watch once this awesome weekend is in the books. Today many areas approached 90…but most did not reach it. Sunday will be a tad cooler with Sunshine and highs in the mid 80′s. Lighter NW winds will shift onshore for a PM sea breeze which will cool many area beaches into the 70′s during the afternoon.