Beyond The Forecast: Potentially Historic March Snowstorm Looming

By Terry Eliasen, Meteorologist, WBZ-TV Exec. Weather Producer

BOSTON (CBS) – How’s this for a forecast? Record cold and a potentially historic March snowstorm … got your attention yet?

If winter were to end today, how would you remember it? I think most would say something like; “mild,” “easy,” or perhaps “What winter?”

Well a wise man once said, “It ain’t over ‘til it’s over,” and our lasting memory from the winter of 2016-2017 may be yet to come.

Ok ok, slow the hype train. We are still nearly 100 hours away from any potential storm next week, so let’s start with what we know for sure. It is going to be REAL cold this weekend. Remember last weekend? Well, we are about to do that all over again, but this time perhaps even slightly colder!

FRIGID WEEKEND

Arctic cold, literally right out of Santa’s backyard is going to pour into New England over the weekend.

Our first shot at a record comes Saturday. Currently we are forecasting a daytime high in Boston of 21 degrees. That would beat the old record of 22 degrees set waaaaay back in 1874. One fly in that ointment could come if we don’t “cool down” fast enough tonight. There is a chance that our official high for Saturday may come just after midnight as temperatures are dropping through the 20s.

blog32 Beyond The Forecast: Potentially Historic March Snowstorm Looming

(WBZ-TV Graphic)

Next record run comes Sunday morning. The lowest temperatures ever recorded for the date in Boston is 7 degrees back in 1900. I would say we have a slight chance at beating that. Our current low temperature forecast for Boston Sunday is 9 degrees.  In the suburbs, even colder. We’re talking a few degrees below zero to a few degrees above…what month is this?

Finally, Sunday afternoon we will only “warm up” into the mid 20s, again another chance at a record low maximum temperature (current record for Boston is 25 degrees set in 1984).

blog22 Beyond The Forecast: Potentially Historic March Snowstorm Looming

(WBZ-TV Graphic)

And if those frigid temperatures aren’t enough to get your attention, the wind sure will be. Wind chill readings will be below zero for most of the day on Saturday and for the first half of the day on Sunday. Yowza.

HISTORIC STORM?

And then comes that little storm threat next week.  Right now we are focused on the Tuesday through early Wednesday timeframe. This has the potential to be a classic.

The storm comes out of the Midwest, redevelops off the Carolina’s and rapidly intensifies (bombogenesis anyone?), and slams New England and perhaps the entire Northeast with blinding snows and powerful winds.

Seriously, if this thing comes together and takes an ideal track (a solution that is very plausible right now), this would be an historic March snowstorm for the entire Northeast. Potential for widespread foot-plus snowfall, damaging/prolonged northeast winds, and some serious coastal flooding.

STORM POSSIBILITIES

Now having said all that, it is only Friday and A LOT can and will happen in the atmosphere between now and next Tuesday.

blog4 Beyond The Forecast: Potentially Historic March Snowstorm Looming

(WBZ-TV Graphic)

What we do know is that a major coastal/ocean storm is likely to form early next week. What is yet to be determined is the size and strength of the storm and its exact track.

Still on the table:

A “coast hugger”: A storm that literally rides right up I95 would mean snow initially but a change to rain along the coastline, serious rain/snow line issues

A glancing blow: A storm takes a track just outside the “Benchmark” of 40/70 and our coastline gets a glancing blow of wind and snow, the majority of the craziness stays to our east and out to sea

A direct hit: Like we said earlier, potential for historic-type snowfall for March and significant wind and coastal damage

Only time will tell. So when will we know? Typically within 48 hours of a big event like this we start honing in and throwing out snowfall projections. So I would say by Sunday afternoon and evening we hope to have a model consensus, or something close to it.

As always, stay with WBZ-TV and CBSBoston.com for frequent updates!

Follow Terry on Twitter @TerryWBZ

Comments

One Comment

  1. Dan W. Lenz says:

    Is Al Gore visiting New England?

  2. Well at least they gave THREE possible forecast, Good, Bad and the UGLY. All bases covered.

  3. Tomas Cruz says:

    Historic? The meteorologists on every local NYC network is telling us of the worst scenario to scare people so they “tune” in.

  4. The “a smart man” who once said “It ain’t over till it’s over” is the Great Yogi Berra and he was not smart AT ALL…Awesome world series champion, All Star, etc but; he was not smart…:)

    1. When you come to a fork in the road, take it.

    2. You can observe a lot by just watching.

    3. It ain’t over till it’s over.

    4. It’s like déjà vu all over again.

    5. No one goes there nowadays, it’s too crowded.

    6. Baseball is 90% mental and the other half is physical.

    7. A nickel ain’t worth a dime anymore.

    8. Always go to other people’s funerals, otherwise they won’t come to yours.

    9. We made too many wrong mistakes.

    10. Congratulations. I knew the record would stand until it was broken.

    11. You better cut the pizza in four pieces because I’m not hungry enough to eat six.

    12. You wouldn’t have won if we’d beaten you.

    13. I usually take a two-hour nap from one to four.

    14. Never answer an anonymous letter.

    15. Slump? I ain’t in no slump… I just ain’t hitting.

    16. How can you think and hit at the same time?

    17. The future ain’t what it used to be.

  5. David Barr says:

    “A lot can happen in the atmosphere”. Isn’t that your job to determine what that is? This article was written for and by 3rd graders. By the way, it’s “Carolinas”, not “Carolina’s”.

  6. Ah, global warming. Is there anything it can not do?

  7. Stupid a$$ click-bait title to a bunch of “We are note even sure what the hell is going to happen but we get cash for the ads you see, sucker.” This is why people make of fun of the weather scientists.

  8. What would be historic is if they only made one prediction and it actually came true.

  9. What would be historic is if they made only one prediction and it actually happened.

  10. Dan Defoe says:

    Lies! All lies! Algore told us the earth was a burning inferno.

  11. Someone call Algore for a comment and explanation. We deserve an answer, don’t you think?

  12. Jim Killion says:

    Is this potentially severe storm the result of global warming, global cooling, AGW or just what happens in March every now and then?

    1. Without man-made global warming this storm would be a frigid blizzard for the Boston area, with man-made warming, it’s a wet snow with rain issues

  13. People say there is a RACE problem. People say this RACE problem will be solved when the third world pours into EVERY and ONLY into White countries.

    People say the only solution to the RACE problem is if ALL and ONLY White countries “assimilate,” i.e., intermarry, with all those non-Whites.

    But if I tell that obvious truth about the ongoing program of genocide against White people, Anti-Whites agree that I am a naziwhowantstokillsixmillionjews.

    Anti-racist is a codeword for anti-White.

  14. mjazzguitar says:

    Just because he said he was God doesn’t mean everybody had to answer him.

  15. No idea what’s going to happen in three days, but we have this global warming thing pinned down and know what the earth will be like in 50 years. Yup, that makes total sense.

  16. Guy Ventner says:

    since we are using all this information….would the global warming people tell us the temperature at the north pole in 1900….Oh wait….no one had been there yet. I can tell you we are all a lot warmer than the last ice age….and have been WARMING SINCE…paging Al Gore’s, Obama’s and Clinton’s private jet for maximum HYPOCRISY!

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