We are simply running out of real estate. The high pressure system which has provided plenty of dry, but cooler air off the water is finally starting to weaken and pull away. The ocean low parked off the Carolinas is beginning to push north. The NW fringe of this low may clip the Cape and islands with a few showers/mist Wednesday morning and help to keep it a bit damp along the coast. Enough dry air will remain in place Wednesday that there will be breaks of sun inland early, but clouds will be quickly filling in as the squeeze will be on between the departing ocean low and an approaching cold front. Cloudy skies with light NE winds will spell highs in Lwr-mid 60’s. This front could trigger a few late showers in the far NW portions of New England late Wednesday. Most of the shower activity with this front will come Wednesday Night through early Thursday morning. The showers will be light and scattered. Blink and you may miss them.
After a damp start Thursday, skies will increase with some sunshine and mild feel will remain. A nice afternoon with highs in the 60’s to near 70. The front will stall along our coastline, so another wave of low pressure will ride up the front to provide a few more showers later Thursday night and early Friday morning. Once again, drier air will follow with increasing sun and mild temps responding to the sun and west winds in the 60’s to near 70. So overall, the showers are scattered, they are light, mostly happening at night, with nice mild afternoons. Sounds good to me!
The Weekend outlook continues to look good. Weather will be dry with a mix of clouds and sun. Winds will be light from the SW which will prevent temps from cooling much at all. In fact, this weekend will be quite comfortable with highs in the mid 60’s Saturday…and Lwr-mid 60’s Sunday.
I know there has been talk of colder air for next week. There are questions when it will arrive here. It will move into the Plains and Great Lakes first before pushing into New England. There may be a delay on it’s arrival with the trough remaining west of New England keeping a SW flow in place. So it is possible it could still be mild to start off next week. The full colder airmass will be directed into New England by the middle of next week with air cold enough for a hard freeze so what ever is left of the growing season is doomed, but it is just about that time anyway. It will be interesting to see how this invasion of new cold air will affect the overall weather pattern. All we need is a little moisture with the cold and soon we will be talking snow. There are signs somewhere around the 28th-31st we just may have a chance across the Northeast. We’ll see.