It has been a rainy 2 weeks which we are all thrilled to finally put behind us. The weather pattern appears to have settled down a bit, but will still remain active enough that we can not completely settle in and relax. Overall, I think we have turned a corner and the pattern should start become more summer like, especially towards the end of the month of June. This June obviously will be remembered for it’s rain…as many areas have picked up 8-9″ of rain this month and we still have half of the month to go! So far it is a top 5 wettest June for Hartford, Providence and Worcester an Boston is quickly moving into that league with just another additional 1/4″ of rain needed.
Why am I even talking about this???!!! It is gorgeous outside! High pressure has moved in just in time for Father’s day weekend, bringing low humidity and light WNW winds for this Saturday with highs in the upper 70’s and Lwr 80’s. West winds will be just enough of a land breeze which will allow the Cape to climb into the mid-upper 70’s as well. The high will be sliding off the mid-Atlantic coast tonight with WSW winds to follow for Sunday.
Father’s day will start off with sunshine in the morning but clouds will be increasing in the afternoon. A weak area of low pressure will be tracking from the Midwest up into Northern New England. Clouds will be advancing during the second half of the day as a warm front approaches. This front will likely trigger scattered showers or a thunderstorm Sunday Afternoon in Northern and Western New England, while the coast should remain mostly dry. The Cape will enjoy a dry weekend..but SW breezes gusting to 20-25 mph will make for a cooler day with highs in the Lwr 70’s, 60’s on the islands.
As the warm front pushes through Monday, temps will remain mild, and a bit humid with in the Lwr 80’s and a mix of clouds and sun. Just enough instability will remain in place, so once the cold front pushes in during the afternoon, it could trigger a scattered shower or thunderstorm. This cold front will stall along the east coast of MA for Tuesday which could be a trigger for another shower or two and more clouds. But most of the day will be dry. Now if this front remains hung up, we could be dealing with more rain for the midweek riding up this stalled front. BUT that is NOT what we are leaning towards at this moment as some of our models have suffered some feed back issues. This front should push far enough off the coast Tuesday, with building high pressure bringing in a seasonal airmass with sunshine and temps in the 70’s near 80. Temps should begin to start to warm up a bit more by next weekend. As long as there is a trough in place across the northeast it will be hard to have any significant warmth in the northeast through at least the Solstice. Once summer begins…we could start to warm up quite quickly by the end of the month with signs of a big ridge becoming established on the east coast by late June. We will see how long this will hold. Obviously…this summer is nothing like the last two which featured plenty of summer sun and heat. It is a different pattern which is showing signs similar to June 2009. Hopefully we can get summer back on track…a little quicker this time around.