From now through the end of the month, Mother Nature is showing signs that she is going to be a ’busy bee.’ A troughy pattern is settling in for numerous chances of rain.
A slow moving cold front will supply the lift and support needed to induce several scattered showers and storms throughout the next 24-36 hours.
There is a wave moving through this morning with some cells dropping 1-2 inches of rain per hour. There will be a lull in the rain along with sunny breaks around midday.
Then, that will fuel more storms this afternoon and evening producing heavy downpours, frequent lightning, and potentially small hail and damaging winds. High temperatures will be in the lower 80s.
Showers will be departing early on Thursday morning. Then, it will become partly sunny with a chance of a spot storm until about 2 p.m. At that point, drier air will be working along with clearing conditions. High temps will once again be in the lower 80s.
Thursday night will be mostly clear and comfortable.
Friday will be a beauty of a day overall. A cold front will be approaching from the Great Lakes region. That being said, there will be a slight chance of storms moving into our far north and west zones by the evening. However, most of us will remain dry until the sun goes down. Highs will be near 90 with increasing humidity. Highs will be between 80-85 for the South Coast, Cape Cod, and the Islands.
This weekend is going to start with scattered showers and storms. Saturday will be mostly cloudy with scattered showers and storms as a cold/stationary front lingers around Southern New England.
The GFSx model has been showing a more progressive pattern as of late. The GFSx has rain from Friday night through Saturday morning with the remainder of the weekend basically dry.
However, the EURO has consistenly depicted a slow-moving front resulting in a spitting image of last weekend’s forecast – scattered showers and storms from Friday night through Saturday night as well as lingering showers early on Sunday before drier air works in.
The NAM extends into midday Saturday now and is running more along the lines of the EURO. Comparing to our summer pattern lately, I’d say that it is more likely that the EURO solution comes to fruition. The GFSx is more optimistic though. We will continue to monitor new model runs closely. Highs both days will be between 75-80.