Too breezy during the overnight for any frost to form…making the Freeze warning much ado about nothing. Lows this morning ranged from 32-38 degrees. Temps are quickly responding to sunshine as highs will climb into the mid-uppr 50’s this afternoon with lighter WNW winds with gusts to 20mph.
An upper low sitting over Newfoundland will help to steer rain and showers from the Great Lakes south of New England tonight. Cooler dry air will continue to be funnelled into New England this weekend making for a” fall feel” persistent breezy NW winds will add to the chill. High clouds are increasing from the showers to our west. As this rain tracks south of New England tonight, clouds will thicken a bit late today and tonight, before pulling off the coast after midnight with clearing skies, and diminishing wind. Conditions should be more favorable for some patchy frost early Sunday morning, with the clearing & calming conditions. A Freeze watch is up for tonight through 8 AM Sunday
With a reinforcing shot of cooler air moving in Sunday, Winds will pick up from the NW again reinforcing the chill and making for a brisk day with highs only in the mid 50’s. High pressure cresting over New England Sunday night again allows for high barometer cold and near calm conditions with the potential for frost again early Monday morning. With high pressure pushing just off the coast, expect brilliant sunshine Monday and slightly warmer temps in the Lwr 60’s with winds shifting to the SW. There may be a weak sea breeze to keep it in the 50’s at the coast
A warm front will approach Tuesday morning with clouds and showers..especially in the morning with a drier afternoon. The warm front stalls south of New England Wednesday. Wednesday looks mainly dry with variably cloudy skies. Temps will begin to warm up inland into the 60’s, but cooler light onshore winds will keep temps in the 50’s at the beaches.
The warm front should finally lift north on Thursday with clouds breaking and partial sun with SW winds. Temps will surge into the lwr-mid 70’s inland ahead of an approaching cold front which could trigger a few showers or even a thunderstorm later Thursday. The cold front will slow with it’s passage into Friday, keeping it mild in the mid-upper60’s …maybe the 70’s? with a chance of a PM shower. Cooler drier weather will return with drier NW winds heading into the weekend.
Could the pendulum finally be swinging in the overall pattern? Temps have averaged above normal since September 2011. April is averaging about 6 degrees above normal. But could the trough be returning to the Northeast for May? Signals are pointing to that. This could be the month where we finally return to more normal temps…Hopefully that is not part of a larger pattern shift…and a swing to persistent cool into summer. It’s possible…I am just not quite ready to say that yet!