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Wind Direction Is Key

Barry Burbank

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Earlier this week, temperatures surpassed 70 but then the wind shifted direction and blew in from the chilly Atlantic Ocean resulting in 40s since Wednesday. Well, the switch will be flipped again and a big warmup to at least 70 is projected for tomorrow except over all of the New England South Coast including Cape Cod, outer Cape Ann plus the ME coast where upper 40s to upper 50s are more likely. After tomorrow, another backdoor cold front will introduce an onshore breeze again in eastern MA but it will not be as chilly as recent days. Expect 50s along the coast to 60s inland Monday and Tuesday with a bump up into the lower 70s on Wednesday as the land breeze returns. There will be a very warm air mass over the Northeast most of the coming week but surface cooling and warming will be dictated by the wind direction. Boston’s record high temperatures for the next 7 days, March 18-24, are 70, 72, 79, 83, 72, 78 and 72 respectively. A record high is possible tomorrow and quite likely Thursday. I am predicting 70-75 for tomorrow and 73-78 on Thursday. There is a slight risk that a local sea breeze could cool off some east-facing beaches but I feel that a southwesterly land breeze will be more common despite its low speed of 5-15 mph. Later in the week, the air will become somewhat more humid as a high pressure system off the Mid-Atlantic pumps a more moist airmass into the region. Expect varying amounts of clouds and sunshine over the next several days. Today’s relatively thin layer of low clouds burned off by late morning over much of ME and Cape Cod but stubbornly lingered to late afternoon in many other places. There is a risk of redevelopment of some of this low cloudiness tonight in places especially from the South Coast up to the MA Pike but it should burn off swiftly most areas early tomorrow yielding bright warming sunshine. Although a few spotty showers could occur in western New England later Monday, it is more likely that showers will arrive north and west of Boston later Friday then press into southeastern sections next Saturday. After that, a shot of cold air will rush in here from Canada so a week from tomorrow, it’s back to reality with high temperatures near or slightly over 40. That chill will linger into the first part of the final week of this month.

The vernal equinox occurs early Tuesday, March 20, at 1:14am. Due to this being a leap year and, to a lesser degree, other factors, this will be the earliest start to spring in 116 years! On the other hand, for the most part, it seems like spring started during autumn.

How are your NCAA brackets looking? My picks of UNLV, Duke, Long Beach State and Missouri have busted my bracket! Watch March Madness on CBS/WBZ-TV.

Joe Joyce delivers his AccuWeather Forecast in the morning and I shall return later in the day.

Enjoy the rest of the weekend and good luck with your bracket(s)!

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  • Italo

    Hi Barry, thanks for your update. Question for you, from this very non-expert weather watcher: just as we had an early snow last October, which appeared to presage a milder winter, have there been also any studies on past historic trends that demonstrated that early warmth in late winter-early spring, can mean a spring and summer that turn out relatively cooler? I’d hate to see us get teased with all this warmth in the next coming short-term, only to have it followed by a cool and wet summertime (personally, anyway).

  • Barry Burbank

    Hey Italo… Not an official long-range forecast yet but I am leaning toward a summer that will be cooler than the past two but not as cool and wet as the summer of 2009.

    • Italo

      Interesting…we await your data and thoughts about that hunch, at some point in the future. Thanks, Barry!

    • I hate winter

      Cooler than last year WOULD be like 2009. If everyone remembers, last summer only showed up around July 4th and was gone by august first, basically. So a cooler than last year would really be bad. Also remember, Barry hates hot weather and humidty, so he’s going to call for cooler:)

      Truth is, nobody knows anything except maybe 5-6 days in the future. How amny of you snow wish casters kept saying “next week the pattern will change’ and it never did. The weather is what it is, and no amount of wishing, wringing of hands, etc wil change it. For warm weather and sumer lovers, face it, New England stinks. For those of us who love hot weather, we need to go south. Trust me, when I can retire, i’m so outa here . If I never see another day below 75, i’d be happy. Florida Keys anyone? Thats where I’m going the day after i retire!

  • BAILEYMAN

    HI
    WELL I PREDICT THE SUMMER WILL BE VERY WARM AND AVERAGE RAINFALL
    BE GOOD MY FRIENDS

    • Stanley452

      not bman!

  • I hate winter

    One other thing. Pete B. said a few days ago in his blog that HE thought spring and summer was going to be a little hot and drier. I know some dont like Pete much, but he did nail this winter when everyone else still held out hope for snow (why I’ll NEVER understand). And you guys do realize thta the “cool down” next week is just a return to normal, right? It signals nothing.

  • man-o-wx

    2009 was not a comfortable summer and according to barry neither will be the next one. Barry is banking on the ENSO to change and I suppose it’s logical to think as this current pattern cannot last much longer. natural vairiability is still a factor even as we continue to carbon load the atmosphere

    darn I missed the three stooges this morn.

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