Rare Commodity for Winter 2011-2012

By Melissa Mack, WBZ-TV

Yes, SNOW has become a rare commodity this winter season.  It’s that rare commodity that is heading our way on Saturday.

Check: Current Conditions | Weather Map Center | Interactive Radar

Until then, the sun will be shining and working hard to warm our high temperatures up to 50F!

Watch Melissa’s forecast:

It’s going to be a gorgeous February day!

Saturday’s snow:

The onset of the snow will be between 6 and 8 a.m. and end around 6 p.m.

This is mainly a daytime snow as the surface low passes southeast of the benchmark.

When the low passes the benchmark directly, that’s when we see some of our biggest coastal storms.

The onset of precipitation will mainly be snow, except for the Outer Cape/Islands where it’ll begin as rain and/or mix.

The snow will become moderate to heavy at times from late-morning through mid-afternoon before tapering off during the evening hours.

The Cape/Islands will notice the transition to snow by late-afternoon once the surface low allows for winds to shift and cool down the temperatures.

With the current track, jackpot snowfall totals of 4-to-6+ inches will be in southern Norfolk County as well as Plymouth and Bristol Counties.

From the North Shore to Boston to Worcester, we can expect about 2-to-4 inches while north-central Mass. and southern NH will see 1-to-3 inches.

The Outer Cape/Islands will see less snow (1-to-3 inches) due to the initial rain/mix during the morning hours.

Another minor concern will be the high astronomical tide happening around 1:35 p.m. Minor coastal flooding may occur.  Advisories will most likely be issued later today.

*This will most likely be the highest snowfall total at Logan Airport since the 2011-2012 winter season began. Currently, the highest snowfall amount recorded 2.9 inches on January 21.

Once the arctic front sweeps across the region on Saturday night, very cold and blustery conditions await us on Sunday. Highs will only be in the 20s.

Please stay up-to-date with our weather conditions on cbsboston.com,  our WBZ Weather Facebook page, and by following us on Twitter (@WBZWeather and @MackWBZ).

Happy FRRRiday!

Melissa :)

  • Snow Time

    Thanks Melissa as always you do your homework. I was just wondering, can the cold front push the storm out to sea even further? Then we would be getting even less snow. Any thoughts on that?

  • JimBeam

    Thank you BZ for cleaning that up :)

  • BaileyMan

    Hey Everyone
    As much as I would love to have been right on this first event proving my prior predictions that after this weekend the weather would likely get active around SNE. At this time the storm approaching for early tomorrow looks like a minor event. In fact most places are likely to see only an inch or 2 of snow out of it. Perhaps a few locations near the southeastern portions of SNE could see a bit more than that but it is begining to look as if most of its energy will be developing well southeast of SNE. In fact places north and west of SNE will see little if any accumulating snow out of this. It is going to move out quickly tomorrow so by late in the day some clearing may ensue in portions of western SNE. Tomorrow will be a cold breezy day with winds out of a northerly direction, shifting to north northwest later in the day. Temps will range from the 20s to lower 30s in most areas of SNE. Roads will be ok for the most part. Major roads likely mostly wet during the day. Have a great weekend…but 1 last thought. I still feel there is potential for a significant storm for SNE within the week ahead! Take care people!

    • nevermind

      This response is confusing. Is BaileyMan disagreeing with M. Mack’s forecast for 3-6″ in SE Mass.? Does his summary indicate that the ‘BZ Mets are hyping the totals as the energy from the system will not be enough to generate the predicted snowfall totals as mapped in the forecast? Which scenario is BM predicting as the 2″ elsewhere seems to be what they think too?!

    • Scott

      Comment on the above posting: “On my prior predictions i would love to be right but
      now it think this is a minor event”. possible another event in the week ahead.”
      I take that the1st prediction was a bigger storm & now you down grated to a minor event & currently this is another miss w/ the warmer trend from tues. thru friday ! You were wrong 3 times & there is no snow according to ch4 in the next 7 days? your wrong again! where does BM gets his info????

  • Merlin

    Hey BaileyMan, thanks for you insight on this event on Saturday. The models have been back and forth on this one so it has been a bit difficult to get it right. Forecasting in this area is always tough until the storm is on our doorstep and then it still can make everyone look bad. Have a great day.

  • man-o-wx

    The Arctic is warmer. 25 F max in a direct shot of air is pitiful. Must be the co2.
    Looks like winter is essentially over following this minor event.

  • Scott

    i think baileyman is saying little snow for this one
    if i was betting no offense to the wbz mets but baileyman was money last year
    anyway i probably would be on baileyman sayin it is a minor event
    i think a bit more in sne means maybe 2 to 4 inches merlin
    just my guess
    baileyman if u are around can u clarify that one? thanks good weekend all

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