Winds of Change This Weekend

By Meteorologist Joe Joyce

The rain and humidity is long gone. The winds of change have moved in today as low pressure deepens and pulls into southern Canada. The winds are providing a refreshing clean and dry airmass with the definite feel of fall. Bright sunshine this morning will give way to building PM cumulus thanks to cooler air aloft and a piece of energy which will move in later today which could trigger a late PM sprinkle or shower farther inland. Highs will average above normal in the mid-uppr 60s with some areas at the coast nearing 70. The winds will provide a chill to the air.

Wind Advisory for the entire south coast from 4 PM –5 AM Sunday for SW winds 20-30 with gusts to 45. The peak wind is expected later this afternoon into the early evening. Partly cloudy skies early this evening will clear after midnight with lows dropping into the 40’s. Winds remain breezy right through Sunday.

Sunday will be another fall beauty with morning sunshine and some increasing PM clouds. Temps will be a tad cooler in the Lwr-mid 60’s. Clouds will thicken late in the day with a weak low which will move through Sunday night which may trigger a shower or two.  This will bring a front which will stall south of New England. Fair skies will last into Monday before the clouds begin to increase with a weak low riding along the stalled front. Mostly cloudy skies should develop by Tuesday. the stalled front will become a warm front which will push back into the region and may trigger a few showers Tuesday…especially NW.

Another low will ride up the coast Wednesday along this stalled front and make for a period of heavy rain and showers Wednesday before quickly departing. Temps still in the 60’s. Cool air advection on the backside with breezy NW winds will cool temps down into the 50’s  and lwr 60’s with partly sunny skies for Thursday-Friday.

Comments

One Comment

  1. David White says:

    Thanks Joe:

    Really a beautiful day today., with the immediate future looking good. Can you possibly, or is there a web link which might shed some light as to WHY A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINED STUCK FOR SO LONG–MORE THAN TWO WEEKS OVER THE GREAT LAKES? FROM ABOUT MIDSEPTEMBER THROUGH THE FIRST DAYS OF OCTOBER, AND LEFT A PARTING “GIFT” OF FLOODING RAINS IN PEABODY ON OCTOBER 4? DURING THOSE TWO PLUS WEEKS THE GFS SEEMED TO SWEAR UP AND DOWN THAT THE AIR MASS WOULD CHANGE BY DAY SIX OR SEVEN AT THE LATEST. THE EURO AND CANADIAN MODELS WERE SLOWER AND I BELIEVE VERIFIED BETTER THAN THE GFS. WAS THE GFS MISSING SOME OTHER BLOCKING IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE WHICH HAD TO UNBLOCK BEFORE THE ABOVE MENTIONED CLOSED LOW COULD OPEN AND MOVE? THANKS FOR ANY CLUES YOU AND OTHER BLOGGERS MAY HAVE.

    1. Jofus says:

      The entire Northern hemisphere had multiple blocks.

      In effect, weather systems all across the northern hemisphere came to a halt.

      This was the rtesult of a rare multiple-block pattern, which I call a “World Block” .

      1. David White says:

        Thanks for your clear cut explanation. What is your meteorological background, if you don’t mind my asking? Is there a website that would explain these rare world blocks in more detail, or would you be able to do this? Thanks!

  2. manowx says:

    I dont see any real change in this mild regime. It seems the mild pattern has lasted several months. We had a one cold month last winter otherwise its mild dominating. Very persistent warmth the last few years. Al Gore is still revelling!

    another thunderstorm last night. that’s two in Oct so far Some locales have had more. very unusual. speaks to the wamth and humidity.

  3. Phil says:

    I think this will be a very mild winter with some real greasy snowstorms.Al Gore is the biggest fraud since Bill Clinton,i can not believe how those two guys brainwashed the american people.remember Bill saying that everybody should be able to buy a house?well yes Bill if you have the MONEY!! IF NOT RENT AN APARTMENT!! anyway i hope everybody has a great weekend and Joe keep up the great blogs.

  4. Clinton, bush, obama?? says:

    CMO & hedge ins were developed under Bush admin, you need to understand the economic cycles before commenting, both sides work for the same side, and I am glad that I can feed from both, learn how to adapt and stick to weather, oh BTW: Global weather change is reality, but it is part of the natural cycle, 10,000 yrs ago this area was under a mile of ice and there was no great lakes.

    1. Matt Souza says:

      since when did politics come into weather had they already done enough freaking damage.and god damed bush. He sucked he was one of the causes of this mess.
      but back to weather. its a little early to be thinking about what winter will bring.
      one thing that i am thinking is that if these blocks continue we will be seeing alot of clipper systems twirling around the area and really slow moving storms. if that is the case the large ocean storms from the pacific ocean that usually travel across the country will not make it to us. but the storms that form in the gulf or disturbances that go over the atlantic will also be slow and become monsters.it will also be slightly above normal which actually will mean more precipitation since warmer air holds more moisture. I also think that we could have some early season storms in december and even possibly in mid to late november.

  5. Jim Haines says:

    Hey Joe, IT’S POURING RAIN IN NORTH BILLERICA!!!! What’s up with that? Your forecast says NOTHING about it raining today!

    1. Matt Souza says:

      jim its a quick moving rain shower and with the atmosphere still unstable i would not be surprise for more scattered showers poping up. i live in billerica also by the shawsheen river pinehurst.it was just raining here to.and its now over.

    2. coach23 says:

      It mentioned a “sprinkle”. I had the same issue. Had my car washed and 15 minutes later sky got black and it poured for quite a while. Not exactly the sprinkle that was mentioned. Then again, not really surprised.

  6. JimmyJames says:

    Weather goes in cycles and balances itself out which is why I don’t believe in global warming.

  7. Cat966G says:

    Whats everybodys take on the long range gfs it show some cloder air at the end of the cycle.

  8. Paul52 says:

    Why would Al Gore spend $9M on ocean front property in Montecito, California if man-mad global warming is so imminent? Maybe he really isn’t all that convinced about the resultant rising sea levels?! Really, if I believed in the imminence of catastrophic global warming the ocean front is the last place I would want to buy expensive real estate! Anyway, here in Pepperell there was a quick heavy rain shower at around 1400 then another one at 1600 followed by clearing. The three-day rainfall total here was 1.67 inch.

  9. Matt Souza says:

    If the gfs and the cmc vertifies then next weekend will be well below average with amix of snow and rain showers across northern new england and a chancr of rain and snow showers in the berkshires durring saturday nigh with chance of rain showers else where if it vertifies. probably not because they are athe only ones saying it. but most models do agree on the cooler temps. thise are just the most dramatic of them

  10. fat loss says:

    May be the best article on the net.

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