Temps are starting off crisp and cool early this AM, but will quickly be on the rise today. At 9:30 AM we have already come close to where our highs were Friday…and we have quite a bit more daylight to go! By late morning, widespread 60’s…by afternoon, highs will be in the 70’s and lwr 80’s. 

A huge upper level ridge is in place for the rest of this weekend which will keep the sunshine and unseasonal temps around through Monday. Sunday will be the warmest day with record warmth as highs will peak into the mid 80’s, cooler on the Cape. Incredible beach weather for those who just can’t seem to let summer go. If you are planning on hitting the hills for hiking and foliage…dress lightly, with lots of water. if Hitting the mountains or the beach or just a fall fair, sunglasses, hat and even a little sunscreen will help the cause in your enjoyment of the day.

On the Columbus Holiday, a backdoor front will be pushing south from Canada. Just a few clouds along with it, but winds will be shifting to the North which will bring in a cooling airmass, especially through the north country. Highs will remain warm in SNE in the 70’s near 80. As the front pushes through Monday night with building Canadian high pressure behind it, winds will shift onshore with cooling onshore winds for Tuesday. This will keep temps in the 60’s at the coast and lwr 70’s inland with plenty of sunshine still!

For the midweek, Our upper level ridge will shift eastward following with trough from the west delivering SW winds aloft. This trough will steer moisture, currently off the coast of Florida, up the east coast as a strengthening low up into New England bu Thursday. Clouds will be increasing ahead of the rainfall Wednesday. Most of the rain will likely be Thursday. Hard to say how heavy the rain will be this far out…but the Euro certainly has a wetter, stormier look than the GFS, which is keeping most of the rain offshore. I lean towards the wetter scenario for now.

The upper level trough will remain over us for next weekend keeping slighty unstable, but mostly dry conditions with a mild WSW wind at the surface. The quiet October weather should continue for most of the rest of the month, before a broadscale trough  back into the northeast by the 20th. This should start to cool our temps down to more typical fall like late October norms.

Enjoy the next few nights with moonlit skies as we approach the full Hunter’s Moon on Tuesday. Gorgeous views of Jupiter with it’s surrounding Galilean moons as well.

The 12th annual Southern New England Weather Conference in Canton October 22nd Coming up!


Comments (4)
  1. David White says:

    Thanks Joe. What a beautiful forecast! Let’s not worry about what happens on Thursday, except to say the GFS has a poor track record handling lows, by offering better case scenarios by either speeding the lows from east to west, or keeping the south to north ones offshore. I think the Euro knows better, possibly because it’s global and therefore has a bigger picture.

    Obviously all models are in agreement on the ridging conditions through midweek.

    Enjoy this beautiful day!

  2. JimmyJames says:

    Enjoy this summer like weekend. The foliage is not as good as last year.

  3. Cat966G says:

    Hey jimmy what do you think this winter will be like

  4. JimmyJames says:

    Less than snow than last winter.

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