Morning Low clouds are thinning and breaking for some increasing midday and afternoon sunshine. Low clouds linger a bit longer at the coast…especially on the Cape.  West winds along with increasing hazy sun will give a warm muggy to feel to the air this afternoon with highs climbing into the 70’s and Lwr 80’s. Light winds will mean a seabreeze at the coast

A cool pool of air aloft and an approaching shortwave from the Great lakes moves back towards New England later today. Clouds are already advancing from the west, so the window of sunshine will be limited. Clouds will be increasing by mid-late afternoon with a chance a few pop up showers or thunderstorm late today with just enough surface convergence along a weak front into the early evening. Very hit or miss.

The shortwave will swing through and off the coast tonight.  Early clouds become partly cloudy…with overnight clearing with humidity levels dropping overnight. Weak high pressure follows in for sunshine and fair weather clouds Monday. We loose the humidity but will keep the warm with highs in the Lwr 80’s and sea breezes at the coast.

Clouds will be increasing Tuesday ahead of the next cold front. Much of Tues will remain dry, but more humid with increasing boundary layer moisture with highs still 80-85. Showers will push in Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. Locally heavy downpours with some embedded thunder possible into the morning hours Wednesday…with some slow improvement by the afternoon.

High pressure returns with sunshine and seasonal temps to end the week with highs in the 70’s and Lwr 80’s.  Nice looking end to the week.

Looking ahead to the July 4th weekend there is uncertainty and at least some weather to watch which could provide showers . A cold front will be working it’s way eastward and will pass through the region at some point with a round of showers and thunderstorms. The timing is speculative and will change in the coming days. A warm front could create showers Saturday, with a cold front making more showers/storms Sunday. An upper low over the maritimes will supply the cool air aloft for instability, and suppress the sultry summer warmth mainly south of New England keeping us in the 70’s….unsettled with the potential for clouds…and hopefully SOME sunshine along the way. The extended outlook simply needs more time…but it does not look ideal today….

Comments (18)
  1. JimmyJames says:

    Great blog as always Joe. I am not worried about the holiday weekend since its several days away and things will change.
    Thunderstorm Index at 1 for the overnight Tuesday which is MINOIR since I don’t see severe weather and when the front comes through it will lose the heating of the day to fuel bigger thunderstorms.

  2. Willy13 says:

    Whoever made the comment about this week’s forecast worsening with time was right on. At this point 4th of July weekend looks like a repeat of last week, more extended rain and cool. While any forecast more than 3 days out suspect it’s looking quite lousy for holiday weekend at this point…….

  3. JimmyJames says:

    Lets see what the forecast says come Thursday and Friday. I can’t get worked up about something out in the distance.

  4. back to 2009 summer, or no summer says:

    Headline says beach day? Duhhhhhh, I never knew beach day meant 90% cloud cover, I guess when you live in Boston, this is the beach day. Amaizing, these area used to get ok summers, now it is like northern Europe, cold snowy winters and damp and cool summers. And yes, next weekend all signs posting to cool and rainy weekend.

    1. Matt Souza says:

      referring to the temps and humidity. and probably referring to the up coming week. and where are you getting that next week will be cool and rainy.i do not see that at all

  5. Joshua says:

    As I said yesterday, despite my limited knowledge of weather, the highs over the past 3-4 months have been very weak, too weak in my opinion to prevent lows and fronts (however minor) from forming. The air is just constantly unstable. Go out today and you just feel instability in the air. Last night same thing. I see practically no break in the pattern. And, I’m very surprised to see so little rain and clouds in the BZ forecast. I really believe the forecast is too rosy and will not verify. Yes, over the coming weeks we’ll see a few nice days, perhaps even a brilliant one thrown in, but the prevailing weather pattern will continually reestablish itself: Lots of gloomy, dreary, unstable conditions, with relatively cool temperatures. It’s depressing, but we need to acknowledge that it’s here to stay unless something dramatic happens.

    1. Italo says:

      I agree. And I think that even the best mets, many of whom they have at WBZ, can’t predict what Crazy Boston Weather will do, it’s just too complicated in the longrun around here. I really do think the higher marine water levels interacting with the down Labrador and up Gulf Stream east coast currents around New England are affecting, in a cyclical not a global warming way I point out once again, the overall huge high/low pressure systems strength, movement and patterns in these years right now around our area–towards the unstabler and cooler conditions that we are seeing.

      Longrange forecasts make me nervous, anyway. Once the furthest day out arrives and the weather isn’t what was originally forecast, the mets can just say, “We know we’d said ABC was going to happen, but what has actually happened is DEF,” and it’s covered. :-o

      1. Mark says:

        if they can’t predict it then why are they even working in the field? just once i want one of them to say “i don’t know”. speak the truth.

  6. Willy13 says:

    Agree with you Joshua…not buying neither any forecast for above normal or even normal temp, nor any more than one COMPLETELY sunny day in a row until it happens……

  7. paul says:

    does anybody know the weather for springfield,mass for 4th july week my sister lives out there iam going to visit her.

    1. patrick says:

      No one knows, least of all the weather professionals.

  8. Andrea says:

    So in other words, you don’t have a clue what next weekend will bring? No one does. Why do all the weather people post long-range forecasts. They are rarely right. There were certainly wrong for this weekend when it was posted a week ago. I find it all funny and yet annoying at the same time.

  9. Matt Souza says:

    more clouds than sun today but a difference in wind direction rose us up into the upper 70s and with the addition of sun you can add 5 to 10 degrees to that .for the week ahead . We are talking summer weather through out the week. The cold front taht everyone will be worried about i bet will only put the humidity levels back down,. So any chance of showers or storms this week will be scattered and or isolated . It will be a hit or miss kind of thing. unlike the past week.

  10. David White says:

    Live day by day, and hope a forecast for beautiful weather verifies. Thanks for your forecast Joe and everyone for your comments.

  11. Love Triple H says:

    Next weekend will be cool and showery; count on it. If it’;s not, be pleasently suprised. Same type of pattern. 5 days of decent weather, 2-3 days of cool and damp. Joe’s telling you what the weather will be, he just wont cme right and and tell you. I said last week that this si the pattern. There will be no 10 day stretch of great weather thid summer. This patten is here until fall I’m afraid.

  12. Love Triple H says:

    Forgot to add that an onshore flow will rear its ugly head again sunday into monday (July 3-4th). Everyone knows what that means. Highs in the mid 60’s and a raw NNE breeze for monday the 4th is my early take. We’ll see. i hope i’m dead wrong, but i think its better than a 60% chance.

    1. karen says:

      Neither you nor Joe know…..

  13. Italo says:

    Hey, the sun did come out this weekend, after all! It just shone itself a few minutes ago here in Revere, at about 8:10 pm. ;) Thank goodness the clouds are beginning to part just in time for the new work week to commence!

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