Sun, Snow, Rain…Then March!

By Meteorologist Joe Joyce, WBZ-TV

Aaaah. So good to be back talking about weather and away from babyland for a bit! What an awesome morning for skiers with a fresh 6-12″ of snow for the mountains of VT, NH, and ME. The jackpot of snow moved through southern VT, SW and central NH and into SW ME. Places from Lewiston, to Laconia to Ludlow, VT all saw close to a foot of snowfall in the past 36 hours.

Most of us are waking to a fresh coating of snow this morning as we briefly changed over as the storm pulled away last night. With a layer of ice under the snow, it is a bit crunchy and icy on the cars and pavements. Winds have diminished as weak high pressure sits near us today and moving through the mid-Atlantic states. Sunshine this morning with increasing high to mid level clouds this afternoon ahead of our next disturbance. Highs will be cooler than normal in the lwr-mid 30’s.

Shortwave energy in the form of a weak Clipper will move from the Plains and track south of New England tonight through tomorrow. Plenty of cold will be in place so the ptype will be mainly snow.  The main timing of the snow is from midnight tonight through midday Sunday. This low will be weak and fighting some low level dry air at the onset so this will help to accumulations down. Still, a widespread 1-3″ of snow is considerable snowfall for those who may not be paying attention to their daily weather forecast. The heaviest snow appears to track from southern VT, S. NH and N. MA where there could be a few pockets of 4″. Plenty of low clouds linger into the afternoon with the chance of a few scattered lingering rain or snow showers.

The fast flat flow of the jetstream will shift to a trough in the northeast for the start of the week. Our next low will come from the SW US and pull a warmer, moisture loaded airmass towards the Northeast. This low will be tracking west of New England. Low level Cold air will be in place Sunday night, so once the column moistens enough by dawn to precipitate…expect a period of freezing rain and sleet Monday morning between the hours of 5 AM-9 AM.

Warm Strong SW winds in the low level jet will continue to override the cooler air at the ground producing considerable lift through the morning into the midday. Any icy mix will be shifting north of th MA border by late morning.  2 batches of rain will be likely. The first batch with the warm front moves through with rain tapering off in the afternoon. SW winds gusting to 40+ will bring us in the warm sector with highs climbing to near 50. The cold front approaches Monday night with another wave of low pressure riding along it. This will come with some heavy downpours and embedded thunder as cooler air clashes with the warm air in place along the east coast. Precipitable water values are up to 1-1.5″…so I am expecting another 1-2″ rainfall which could make for more minor street flooding in the downpours.

Gusty winds will shift in on Tuesday behind the departing front. Mild air will remain in place through the midweek with temps in the mid 40’s. Cooler dry weather will likely shift into the Northeast to end the week with building high pressure out of Canada. Nothing too cold. After some unsettled weather by next weekend, it looks like Artic air my try to press further south out of Canada for a colder trend of weather from March 8th through the 12th. Heading to a Skywarn spotter meeting at the National weather service today….have to go! Have a great weekend!

  • itoldyouso

    hope the snow for tonight is lower then 1 inch !!!!!! i’m tired of winter this year , bring on spring!!!!!!!!!

  • Charlie

    Minor snow event. Most get 2-3 inches, then rain early next week, followed by seasonable weather through the week

    • snowman

      Thank GOD we dont have to hear “WINTER IS OVER”!!! I guess you took my advice!

  • WeatherWizard

    Congratulations and welcome back!

  • Scott

    That secondary low that the NAM develops interests me for Mondays storm.
    And welcome back Joe!

  • JimmyJames

    Scott that is something to keep an eye on but I want to see other models jump on board the solution before I buy into it.

  • retrac


    Warm air will already be in place at all levels. Any redevelopment will only draw in lower level cold air.

    • Joshua

      Yes, but it’s not going to be 50 degrees in Boston on Monday, that’s my hunch at least. I think we get a cold rain, much like Friday, followed by some significant cooling Monday night and Tuesday.

  • JimmyJames

    The Monday storm is a rain maker for us. Maybe some wintry mix far interior to start. As much as I hate rain during the winter I can’t complain because this winter delivered a lot more snow than I thought. I can’t wait to see how many thunderstorm days will get in the summer because I love tracking those and an early call for summer I don’t think it will be as hot as last summer.

  • Ryan Breton

    Hey Joe… Do you know how reliable/accurate the 9″ snow total in Hampstead is? I saw the report in the weathercast here on the web. Hampstead is right next to Atkinson… and we only had 3.5″ of snow! Congratulations BTW…nice to have you back!

  • John

    Hi Guys- well it looks like 1-3 inches in my area on the southshore. We got a heavy dusting last night. I’m guessing whatever we get tommorow it should get washed away with Mondays rain storm. We are loosing alot of the snowcover here in Pembroke, but still alot of snow around. I was looking at a pile at my house the other day, there is such a thick ice buldup under them.

  • Bombersns

    Winter is over stick a fork in it.I can see my lawn.Will be golfing in april.And shool vacation is over.What exactly is a heavy dusting.

    • JOHN

      Hi Bombersns- I for one will welcome the end of winter. A heavy dusting means we got less than 1inch. Starting to see the lawns here to, first time since before xmas. But still some good snowcover. I have a feeling this will be a winter that wants to hang around. We are due for snow in March, snowless last March. But like I said I am ready for spring and more ready for summer.

  • philip

    Regarding Joe’s last paragraph about “unsettled” weather next weekend, what precip type is likely?

  • LEo

    IM thinking only about an inch tomorrow in the boston area. Im a huge snowlover but im ready for some springtime. I know if we got a big snow storm I would still be pumped but im looking forward to those warm sunny days with the pottential of afternoon thunderstorms. So far away!

  • Scott

    12z GFS also develped a secondary low, which misses to our south.

  • philip

    With yesterday’s 1 iinch of snow, Boston has now vaulted into the #8 slot in all time snowfall at 73.5″…we would need another 6″ to get to #7 which is not likely in the immediate future.

    • philip

      Btw, #7 = 79.2″ (1915-16)

      • John

        That’s still a good amount of snow, and we got it in a short time with one storm after the other. So we add a couple to that with tonights snow, and see what March brings.

  • josh081290

    wwa for 3-6 inches of snow tomorrow. 2-4 seems more likely but who knows. mondays storm has been trending colder too. i highly doubt temps get as warm as the 7 day shows

    • John

      Josh- for what area is the 3-6 for. I would assume that is for maybe well north of the pike. just curious.

      • josh081290

        sorry its 2-4 inches for the greater boston area but all areas north of the mass pike including 128 north and west are supposed to get 3-6

  • Scott

    snowfall forecast from the NWS, quite impressive.

    and winter weather advisories are up for parts of the region.

  • manowx

    Looking forward to those night thunderstorms monday I dont like the embedded ones; too wet. The lightning rain obscured.

  • manowx

    I hope its more active thunderstorm-wise Last season was dull. Ironically slightly cooler summers support stronger more frequent thunderstorms. I’m psyched!

    • rainshine

      Exactly – the summer of 2008 was a good example. It wasn’t as cool as the summer of 2009 – which was just damp and cold – but in the summer of 2008 there were a lot of pools of cold air that formed over us and we had a lot of strong thunderstorms.. I don’t know the meteorological term for those pools of colder air.. I too am looking forward to the thunderstorm season.

  • manowx

    three thunder days so far. off to good sart

  • shotime

    Congratulations Joe! Great to have you back!

  • shotime

    John, a weather-related garden question… I noticed the other day you mentioned you have some landscaping knowledge, so please advise. During the period of the 3-4′ snowpack, my burlap covered hydrangeas were forced forward due to the weight of the snowpack. I shoveled them free ASAP, but now they are leaning forward by about a ft or two. Will the change in position be permanent, or will they stand upright come srping? Good news is they now are leaning further from the fence! Appreciate you input or any advise. Thanks :)

    • John

      Hi Shottime- no it should not be permanent. They should stand back up come spring. If you can you could tie them to the fence to keep them upright for any more snow or ice. You could get some landscape ties in any big store like home depot. Come spring prune and fertilize, they should be fine. Feel free to ask any questions, any advice you need I would be more than happy to help out. I hope this answers your question.

      • shotime

        Thank you! John. Your feedback is very helpful and much appreciated. I will definatley purchase some landscape ties. Great suggestion!

  • JimmyJames

    I am still giving our latest system on a 1 on the Snow Index. I don’t think snowfall will exceed four inches for a 2 on this one but as always I’ll keep an eye on it.
    Manowx I hope for some good thunderstorm days this summer because as you and the regular bloggers know I like tracking them as well as snowstorms.
    I just loooked at Brett Anderson’s blog and it is calling for mild weather the week of the 7th. Could The Farmers Almanac be right calling for unseasonably mild weather with temperatures approcahing 70 degrees???

    • Chris McD

      Mild weather does look like it’s in store for us next weekend and beyond. I wouldn’t say 70s but middle 40s and low 50s for sure. Spring is on our door step! :D

  • Anderson

    Then why does the GFS show a rain changing to potential snowstorm around the 7th and 8th of March??? What the hell are you talking about??

  • StanleyACED

    I would love to hear from JMA, Topkatt88 and BaileyMan about this next storm, Mondays storm, and if we will get that 1 big snowstorm around the 7th, 8th, or 9th?

    • Topkatt88

      Yo Stanley the Man!
      Sunday: QPF & ratios support a widespread 3-6 inches.
      Monday: Locked in, warm storm, track well NW of Boston. Warm frontal rain early, may start as BRIEF mix far NW of Boston otherwise rain. A break when we get into the warm sector, then showers/thunderstorms at night with strong cold front – could get interesting in a few spots with strong winds & even hail.

      I blogged a couple days ago about a window of opportunity for a winter storm somewhere around March 9 +/- a couple days. That remains on the table.

      • JOHN

        Hey TK- Big game tonight. Taking the family to a hotel tonight I hope they have the game.

  • JimmyJames

    The model Brett Anserson was shwoing for the week of March 7-13 was the long range European model and not the GFS.
    I want to see one more big snow event before we close the books on winter.

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