BOSTON (CBS) – The first Nor’easter of 2011 appears to be on its way to New England.
This is about as close as you can get to a meteorological “slam dunk” 36-48 hours in advance. Nearly all weather models agree that a significant winter storm will ride up the East Coast Tuesday and arrive here in New England near or just after midnight Tuesday.
A winter storm watch has been issued by the National Weather Service from Tuesday night through Wednesday evening for our entire area.
The snow is already falling in parts of Virginia and North Carolina and all major cities through the mid-Atlantic up into New England will be hit by this one.
3-to-6 inches is likely in parts of Washington D.C. and Baltimore, slightly more in Philadelphia, and New York City could be in line for another 6-to-12 inches of snow.
New England should be the jackpot this time, we are forecasting a widespread 8-to-14 inches of snowfall.
The only chance of totals being slightly lower is over the Cape and Islands where some mixing with sleet and rain may occur.
Watch Melissa Mack’s forecast
The good news with this storm is that it will be a fairly quick mover. It’s not going to stall off our coast like some major New England storms.
The bulk of the accumulation should occur between 3 a.m. and 3 p.m. on Wednesday with lighter snows before and after that timeframe.
More good news – the coastal flooding will be nothing like what it was during the Blizzard of late December.
The tides are not astronomically high, so just minor splash over is expected during the high tides at 4:30 a.m. and 4:30 p.m. on Wednesday.
Winds will be strong out of the northeast, especially along the coast. Residents there can expect gusts of 25-to-50 mph during Wednesday.
This storm will likely cancel school and other events planned on Wednesday.
If you were planning on traveling by plane or car you should check for delays or cancellations and plan lots of extra time.
Both commutes on Wednesday will be severely affected.
Looks like more cold air and a few flakes over the weekend, but we are in a fairly stormy jet stream pattern, meaning this may not be our last Nor’easter this month.