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Keller @ Large: How Patrick Beat Baker

By Jon Keller, WBZ-TV

BOSTON (CBS) – The first (and only?) post-election poll is out, courtesy of the MassINC polling group, and it’s an eye opener. Among the highlights (or lowlights, if you were for Charlie Baker):

* Baker won the independent vote, but only by 14 percentage point, well below the margin he needed;

* For those insisting that Tim Cahill proved to be a non-factor, please explain how that can be when the poll shows he pulled 12% of independents;

* The gender gap was huge, with Deval Patrick running up a 24% lead among women.  And as the MassINC analysts note, women were far more positive than men about the state’s direction, with 60% telling the pollsters we’re heading in the right direction. No wonder; unemployment has hit men harder than women. And no wonder women rejected Baker’s dire warnings of the urgent need for change;

* And get this – 54% of Patrick voters say they had made up their minds before Labor Day, raising the possibility that most of what happened after that – the debates, the TV ads, Loscocco-gate, the bad jobless figures, etc. – was mere background noise.


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